In the case of this Bearish Gartley Pattern, what makes it interesting is that the pattern completed really early even before the minimum 0.382 Alternate Time Projection. In this case, even if there is a valid reversal, I will still stay by the side and not trigger any position as most early completions of patterns will usually not work out as expected. However, it does not mean that we totally ignore it as it may later present itself as a Type 2 Reversal which will be a short that I will be considering when the price action enters the Harmonic Time Window.
H1 - Primary
As I have previously mentioned in one of my posts, usually if a pattern completes before the RSI exits from the extreme area, there will be 2 likely outcomes:
- First, I will expect that the price action will overspill and test the high of the Terminal Price Bar and may even exceed it a little while maintaining the structural validity of the pattern without exceeding the Stop Loss Limit of the pattern and thus making it a tradable pattern.
- Second, the price action may simply move in the predominant trend and invalidate the pattern.
Therefore, in most cases where I see the pattern completing before the RSI's exit from the extreme area, I will usually give it more time to resolve itself and from there determine if it is a trade which I would like to take.
As seen in the attached chart, it seems that the scenario here belongs to the first outcome for now.
In addition, it is clearly evident from the chart that the pattern's completion was way too early and thus it was a clear warning to tell me to stay away from now.
H4 - Distal
What is interesting on the distal timeframe is that the RSI has previously completed a complex structure which is a good news for me as the complex structures will usually hint of a secondary RSI retest before the price action reverses. As such, it sorted of hinted to me of a possible Type 2 Reversal from here.
M15 - Proximate
Putting it all together, in the attached chart, there was another occurrence here which hinted to a possible Type 2 Reversal here too.
At the pattern's completion, there was a complex RSI structure which has yet to resolve itself. Since the RSI structure at the completion of the pattern was that of a complex one, I will be expecting a secondary retest here and wait for an opportunity to present itself later when the price action trades into the Harmonic Time Window in the presence of a valid trade executions signal
Good trading everyone. I will update again later as the day progresses.
Update: 30 Jun 12
Through the course of the day, the Bearish Gartley Pattern was later invalidated when the price action exceeded the Stop Loss Limit of the pattern.
Despite an invalidation of the Bearish Gartley pattern, there might be a possibility that the pattern may morph into a Bearish Crab Pattern. In this case, it highlights the importance of syncing the RSI completion with the pattern's completion. Therefore, when a pattern completes before a RSI validation, it will simply mean an overspill, a pattern invalidation or in this case a possible morphing as the Crab can have a B point at 0.618 which in the case of a Gartley, the 0.618 is the only exact B point alignment allowed.
In this example, it exemplifies the beauty of the approach where it allows me to respond accordingly in certain cases and be sure and confident when to take a trade and when not to take a trade.
Wishing all a great trading next week.
Update: 30 Jun 12
Through the course of the day, the Bearish Gartley Pattern was later invalidated when the price action exceeded the Stop Loss Limit of the pattern.
Despite an invalidation of the Bearish Gartley pattern, there might be a possibility that the pattern may morph into a Bearish Crab Pattern. In this case, it highlights the importance of syncing the RSI completion with the pattern's completion. Therefore, when a pattern completes before a RSI validation, it will simply mean an overspill, a pattern invalidation or in this case a possible morphing as the Crab can have a B point at 0.618 which in the case of a Gartley, the 0.618 is the only exact B point alignment allowed.
In this example, it exemplifies the beauty of the approach where it allows me to respond accordingly in certain cases and be sure and confident when to take a trade and when not to take a trade.
Wishing all a great trading next week.




















































